4 Gartner Hype Cycle Supply Chain Technologies That Power Continuous Innovation
If we have learned anything new about supply chains this past year, it’s that they are not stagnant. Instead, they are living, breathing ecosystems that require constant evolution to remain relevant to the internal and external customers they serve. As a result, it is imperative that leaders continuously innovate their supply chains by investing in new technologies.
So, where do you start your journey?
One of the most recognized resources that supply chain leaders reference is the Gartner Hype Cycle for Supply Chain Planning Technologies. This publication assesses technologies that executives should consider leveraging to stay relevant to their various stakeholders and to gain or maintain their competitive advantage in the marketplace.
“Technology now trumps process. With well-thought digital planning and the right tools, companies can continually innovate their planning.” —Gartner
From Innovation to Standard Productivity Practice
The classic approach of designing processes and then searching for technologies to support them is obsolete. Technology now trumps process.
Let me state that again — technology now trumps process.
Take a deep breath and sit with that for a moment. That statement most likely caused you to experience a bit of cognitive dissonance, which is the point. ERP vendors have often stated you should not implement their solutions without performing widespread process reengineering. A technology deployed that does not fundamentally change how you operate does not move the needle forward concerning performance.
Just why does technology trump process?
The answer is simple. Companies can no longer evolve their processes fast enough to take advantage of new technologies. They must now seek new opportunities to accelerate the value that their supply chains deliver. To accomplish that, leaders need to apply new technologies to the foundation they already have in place.
With 25 years dedicated to the supply chain discipline, I view adopting new technologies within your supply chain as analogous to bolting a turbocharger to an engine. You leverage the investments you have already made by adding on new technologies that radically increase performance without disrupting the entire operation. After the installation, when you need the performance boost, it kicks in seamlessly on-demand. As with race cars, early adopters gained numerous advantages that allowed them to beat their competitors, that is, until they became commonplace.
The time to take action is now so that you can gain a "first-mover" advantage in your respective markets. Increasingly, the ability of the supply chain to deliver becomes the competitive advantage!
4 Technologies Supporting SCP Continuous Innovation
For most organizations, the standard practice for supply chain design was to hire a consultancy to build a baseline model of their supply chain in network modeling software. Solvers would then be employed to identify an optimal supply chain and optimize supply chain resiliency. Most of the time that plan was only partially implemented before moving on to other fire-fighting projects as they needed to urgently address unforeseen changes. Three to four years later the cycle repeated.
That's a slow, incremental model that can't keep pace in today's fast-paced environment. We are now moving from an episodic to a continuous design process.
We believe that four technologies in the hype cycle are especially adept at enabling companies to successfully transition from a steady-state supply chain to one that continuously evolves and adapts to changes taking place at an exponential pace.
1. Digital Supply Chain Twin (Innovation Trigger)
The pandemic has underlined the importance and value of the digital supply chain twin. With it, organizations can test out a litany of "what-if" scenarios to determine the best options to respond to changing market conditions and disruptions that even the best plans did not consider. A digital twin enables an agile supply chain and lets an organization know, in a matter of hours, the potential impacts that any proposed options would have on any number of given bottlenecks or constraints, whether they are fixed or temporary.
2. Long-Term Demand Sensing (Innovation Trigger)
What you sold yesterday is increasingly less relevant to what, where, and how much you will sell five years from now. If you rely solely on your past sales history, a library of mathematical algorithms, and a bit of "gut feel" to make this demand forecast, then you are already behind the eight ball. You need to incorporate relevant socio-economic trends that serve as causals that inherently determine your demand curves. Long-term demand sensing combines internal sales history with external data and machine learning to support integrated business planning and demand planning, and predict future trending demand over a two to five-year time horizon.
3. CORE (Configure, Optimize, Respond) (Trough of Enlightenment)
Think of this as the instructions for building out your supply chain, similar to building a race car.
- Configure: Purposely build out your supply chain as you grow. Build new plants, use new warehouses, sell into new markets, and make acquisitions as you serve your customers. Then "drive" that supply chain to deliver the results that you built it to achieve.
- Optimize: Use your digital supply chain twin to conduct a series of "what-if" analyses to determine which parts of your supply chain are holding back your performance. Maybe substitute one warehouse for another, intermodal for over-the-road, augment manufacturing with an external toller, or turn on additional suppliers. If your engine is not getting enough gas, then swap out the fuel pump to a larger one to handle the engine’s increased demands. Get creative, think differently, and test out your ideas in a simulation before you go live.
- Respond: Even the best-laid plans sometimes need adjustment due to unforeseen circumstances — like a global pandemic. Check on the supply chain regularly and replan in the short-term to achieve the desired results. If the race car’s tires are wearing out too quickly on the outside edges, increase the camber angle. Possibly even swap tires during a 14-second pit stop.
4. Multi-Echelon Inventory Optimization (Slope of Enlightenment)
Although multi-echelon inventory management optimization is considered a more mature technology, an overwhelming majority of companies that I interface with have not yet utilized this capability. By incorporating demand variability, replenishment cycle times, and desired customer fill rates, organizations can set the correct inventory levels to ensure they're making the best use of constraint working capital budgets. Take this approach further by adding inventory valuation classes (raw materials, intermediates, finished goods) and optionality for stocking locations closer to customers, plants, and suppliers. You then have an optimization problem that no spreadsheet can handle. Let your competition struggle with spreadsheets while you embrace an algorithmic solution that feeds the optimal results back into your ERP system for execution. Think of this much like having a performance car “tuned” where new operating instructions are loaded into the powertrain control module that serves as the vehicle's brain. That “tune” can be easily changed based on the desired driving characteristics, much like inventory settings in your ERP system.
The Continuous Cycle of Innovation
At one point in time, everything on the Gartner Hype Cycle was new before it moved to the plateau of productivity and became a standard practice. To develop a competitive advantage in supply chain planning, a company must figure out how to embrace innovations in their supply chain road map. Organizations can evaluate these technologies with a priority matrix that relates potential investments to their overall supply chain strategy.
Things like digital supply chain twin, machine learning, and continuous intelligence will be standard technologies in the supply chain within ten years, just like the turbocharger is in many high-volume production cars today. You now have a window of opportunity to embrace these technologies and stay ahead of the competition by making your supply chain a competitive advantage.
Gartner, Hype Cycle for Supply Chain Planning Technologies, 2020, Tim Payne, Amber Salley, Pia Orup Lund, 12 November 2020
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